from cPickle import load from math import log, exp, sqrt, sin from random import random, gauss import sys from itertools import product from multiprocessing import Pool GR = (sqrt(5) - 1) / 2 def gss(f, a, b, tol=1e-20): """golden section search to minimize along one coordinate""" c = b - GR * (b - a) d = a + GR * (b - a) while abs(c - d) > tol: fc = f(c) fd = f(d) if fc < fd: b = d d = c c = b - GR * (b - a) else: a = c c = d d = a + GR * (b - a) return (b + a) / 2 def iter_events(events): for n, s in events.iteritems(): for t in s: yield (n, t) def ll_old(lamb, alpha, mu): r1 = sum(log(lamb + sum(alpha * w * mu * exp(-mu * (t1 - t2)) for (n2, t2, w) in s)) for ((n1, t1), s) in event_edges.iteritems()) r2 = sum(sum(alpha * w * (1 - exp(-mu * (nodes[n2] - t1))) for n2, w in edges[n1].iteritems() if nodes[n2] > t1) for (n1, t1) in iter_events(events)) r3 = lamb * sum(nodes.itervalues()) return -(r1 - r2 - r3) def ll(lamb, alpha, mu): r1 = sum(log(lamb * (1 + 0.43 * sin(0.0172 * t1 + 4.36)) + sum(alpha / d * mu * exp(-mu * (t1 - t2)) for (n2, t2, d) in s)) for ((n1, t1), s) in event_edges.iteritems()) r2 = sum(sum(alpha / d * (1 - exp(-mu * (nodes[n2] - t1))) for n2, d in edges[n1].iteritems() if nodes[n2] > t1) for (n1, t1) in iter_events(events)) r3 = lamb * sum(nodes.itervalues()) return -(r1 - r2 - r3) def sa(x, y, z, sigma=0.1, niter=100): T = 1 e = 1.01 for _ in xrange(niter): fo = ll(x, y, z) #print T, sigma, x, y, z, fo yn = max(y + gauss(0, sigma * y + 1e-10), 0) zn = max(z + gauss(0, sigma * z + 1e-10), 0) fn = ll(x, yn, zn) if fn < fo or exp((fo - fn) / T) > random(): y = yn z = zn sigma *= e else: sigma /= e if sigma < 1e-5: break T *= 0.99 return y, z def optimize_with_sa(x, y, z): # y, z = sa(x, y, z) while True: x = gss(f, 0, 1, tol=1e-10) y, z = sa(x, y, z) print x, y, z, ll(x, y, z) sys.stdout.flush() def optimize_with_gss(x, y, z): while True: x = gss(f, 0, 1, tol=1e-20) y = gss(g, 0, 1, tol=1e-20) z = gss(h, 0, 1, tol=1e-20) print x, y, z, ll(x, y, z) sys.stdout.flush() def coarse_search(): d = {} for line in open("values.txt"): v = map(float, line.strip().split()) d[tuple(v[:3])] = v[3] p = Pool(5) lamb = [20. ** i for i in range(-15, 15)] alpha = [20. ** i for i in range(-15, 15)] mu = [20. ** i for i in range(-15, 15)] def aux(x): if x in d: return l, a, m = x print l, a, m, ll(l, a, m) sys.stdout.flush() p.map(aux, product(lamb, alpha, mu)) # for l, a, m in product(lamb, alpha, mu): # print l, a, m, ll(*(l, a, m)) if __name__ == "__main__": nodes, edges, events, event_edges = load(open("data2.pickle", "rb")) def f(x): global y, z return ll(x, y, z) def g(y): global x, z return ll(x, y, z) def h(z): global x, y return ll(x, y, z) # x, y, z = map(float, sys.argv[1:]) x = 1.8e-5 y = 1. z = 1. #x, y, z = 1.8387870804e-05, 0.0383954874502, 0.00108402386463 x, y, z = 1.83e-5, 0.00125, 0.00125 #optimize_with_sa(x, y, z) #optimize_with_gss(x, y, z) print ll(x, y, z) #coarse_search()