from cPickle import load from itertools import product from math import exp, log def iter_events(events): for n, s in events.iteritems(): for t in s: yield (n, t) def inprod(a, b): return tuple(float(x * y) for x, y in zip(a, b)) def ll(a): lamb, alpha, mu = a r1 = sum(log(lamb + sum(alpha * w * mu * exp(-mu * (t1 - t2)) for (n2, t2, w) in s)) for ((n1, t1), s) in event_edges.iteritems()) r2 = sum(sum(alpha * w * (1 - exp(-mu * (nodes[n2] - t1))) for n2, w in edges[n1].iteritems() if nodes[n2] > t1) for (n1, t1) in iter_events(events)) r3 = lamb * sum(nodes.itervalues()) return -(r1 - r2 - r3) if __name__ == "__main__": nodes, edges, events, event_edges = load(open("data.pickle", "rb")) d = {} for line in open("values.txt"): v = map(float, line.strip().split()) d[tuple(v[:3])] = v[3] l = d.items() l.sort(key=lambda x: x[1]) for a, _ in l[:10]: t = [1. / i for i in range(2, 6)] + [float(i) for i in range(1, 6)] for b in product(t, repeat=3): l, al, m = inprod(a, b) if (l, al, m) in d: continue print l, al, m, ll((l, al, m))